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Manuela Loureiro Ferreira, Katie E. de Luca, Lydia M Haile, Jaimie D Steinmetz, Garland T Culbreth, Marita Cross, Jacek A Kopec, Paulo H. Ferreira, Fiona Blyth, Rachelle Buchbinder and 244 more
Background: Low back pain is highly prevalent and the main cause of years lived with disability (YLDs). We present the most up-to-date global, regional, and national data on prevalence and YLDs for low back pain from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2021. Methods: Population-based studies from 1980 to 2019 identified in a systematic review, international surveys, US medical claims data, and dataset contributions by collaborators were used to estimate the prevalence and YLDs for low back pain from 1990 to 2020, for 204 countries and territories. Low back pain was defined as pain between the 12th ribs and the gluteal folds that lasted a day or more; input data using alternative definitions were adjusted in a network meta-regression analysis. Nested Bayesian meta-regression models were used to estimate prevalence and YLDs by age, sex, year, and location. Prevalence was projected to 2050 by running a regression on prevalence rates using Socio-demographic Index as a predictor, then multiplying them by projected population estimates. Findings: In 2020, low back pain affected 619 million (95% uncertainty interval 554-694) people globally, with a projection of 843 million (759-933) prevalent cases by 2050. In 2020, the global age-standardised rate of YLDs was 832 per 100 000 (578-1070). Between 1990 and 2020, age-standardised rates of prevalence and YLDs decreased by 10·4% (10·9-10·0) and 10·5% (11·1-10·0), respectively. A total of 38·8% (28·7-47·0) of YLDs were attributed to occupational factors, smoking, and high BMI. Interpretation: Low back pain remains the leading cause of YLDs globally, and in 2020, there were more than half a billion prevalent cases of low back pain worldwide. While age-standardised rates have decreased modestly over the past three decades, it is projected that globally in 2050, more than 800 million people will have low back pain. Challenges persist in obtaining primary country-level data on low back pain, and there is an urgent need for more high-quality, primary, country-level data on both prevalence and severity distributions to improve accuracy and monitor change. Funding: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Ferreira, M. L., Luca, K. E. D., Haile, L. M., Steinmetz, J. D., Culbreth, G. T., Cross, M., Kopec, J. A., Ferreira, P. H., Blyth, F., Buchbinder, R., Hartvigsen, J., Wu, A., Safiri, S., Woolf, A. D., Collins, P. G. S., Ong, K. L., Vollset, S. E., Smith, A. E., Cruz, J. A., … MARCH, L. M. (2023). Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990–2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The Lancet Rheumatology, 5(6), e316–e329. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2665-9913(23)00098-x
Ferreira, Manuela Loureiro, et al. "Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990–2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021." The Lancet Rheumatology, vol. 5, no. 6, 2023, pp. e316–e329, https://doi.org/10.1016/s2665-9913(23)00098-x.
Ferreira, Manuela Loureiro, Katie E. de Luca, Lydia M Haile, Jaimie D Steinmetz, Garland T Culbreth, Marita Cross, Jacek A Kopec, et al. "Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990–2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021." The Lancet Rheumatology 5, no. 6 (2023): e316–e329. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2665-9913(23)00098-x.
Ferreira M. L., Luca K. E. D., Haile L. M. [и др.] Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990–2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 // The Lancet Rheumatology. — 2023. — Vol. 5, № 6. — P. e316–e329. — URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/s2665-9913(23)00098-x
@article{ferreira2023global,
title = {{Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990–2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021}},
author = {Manuela Loureiro Ferreira and Katie E. de Luca and Lydia M Haile and Jaimie D Steinmetz and Garland T Culbreth and Marita Cross and Jacek A Kopec and Paulo H. Ferreira and Fiona Blyth and Rachelle Buchbinder and Jan Hartvigsen and Aimin Wu and Saeid Safiri and Anthony D. Woolf and Professor Gary S. Collins and Kanyin Liane Ong and Stein Emil Vollset and Amanda Elizabeth Smith and Jessica A Cruz and Kai Glenn Fukutaki and Semagn Mekonnen Abate and Mitra Abbasifard and Mohsen Abbasi‐Kangevari and Zeinab Abbasi-Kangevari and Ahmed Abdelalim and Aidin Abedi and Hassan Abidi and Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani and Ali Ahmadi and Rufus Akinyemi and Abayneh Tadesse Alamer and Adugnaw Zeleke Alem and Yousef Alimohamadi and Mansour Abdullah Alshehri and Mohammed Mansour Alshehri and Hosam A. Alzahrani and Saeed Amini and Sohrab Amiri and Hubert Amu and Cătălina Liliana Andrei and Tudorel Andrei and Benny Antony and Jalal Arabloo and Judie Arulappan and Ashokan Arumugam and Tahira Ashraf and Seyyed Shamsadin Athari and Nefsu Awoke and Sina Azadnajafabad and Till Bärnighausen and Lope Hugo Barrero and Amadou Barrow and Akbar Barzegar and Lindsay Bearne and Isabela M. Benseñor and Alemshet Yirga Berhie and Bharti Bhandari and Vijayalakshmi S Bhojaraja and Ali Bijani and Belay Boda Abule Bodicha and Srinivasa Rao Bolla and Javier Brazo‐Sayavera and Andrew M. Briggs and Chao Cao and Periklis Charalampous and Vijay Kumar Chattu and Flavia Cicuttini and Benjamin Matthew Clarsen and Sarah Cuschieri and Omid Dadras and Xiaochen Dai and Lalit Dandona and Rakhi Dandona and Azizallah Dehghan and Takele Gezahegn Demie and Edgar Denova‐Gutiérrez and Syed Masudur Rahman Dewan and Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne and Mandira Lamichhane Dhimal and Meghnath Dhimal and Daniel Díaz and Mojtaba Didehdar and Lankamo Ena Digesa and Mengistie Diress and Hoa Do and Linh Phuong Doan and Michael Ekholuenetale and Muhammed Elhadi and Sharareh Eskandarieh and Shahriar Faghani and Jawad Fares and Ali Fatehizadeh and Getahun Fetensa and Irina Filip and Florian Fischer and Richard Charles Franklin and Balasankar Ganesan and Belete Negese and Motuma Erena Getachew and Ahmad Ghashghaee and Tiffany K. Gill and Mahaveer Golechha and Pouya Goleij and Bhawna Gupta and Nima Hafezi‐Nejad and Arvin Haj‐Mirzaian and Pawan Kumar Hamal and Asif Hanif and Netanja I. Harlianto and Hamidreza Hasani and Simon Iain Hay and Jeffrey J. Hébert and Golnaz Heidari and Mohammad Heidari and Reza Heidari‐Soureshjani and Mbuzeleni Hlongwa and Mohammad‐Salar Hosseini and Alexander Kevin Hsiao and Ivo Iavicoli and Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye and Irena Ilić and Milena Ilić and Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam and Manthan Dilipkumar Janodia and Ravi Prakash Jha and Har Ashish Jindal and Jost B Jonas and Gebisa Guyasa Kabito and Himal Kandel and Rimple Jeet Kaur and Vikash Ranjan Keshri and Yousef Saleh Khader and Ejaz Ahmad Khan and Mohammad Jobair Khan and Moien AB Khan and Hamid Reza Khayat Kashani and Jagdish Khubchandani and Yun Jin Kim and Adnan Kısa and Jitka Klugarová and Ali‐Asghar Kolahi and Hamid Reza Koohestani and Ai Koyanagi and G Anil Kumar and Narinder Kumar and Tea M. Lallukka and Savita Lasrado and Wei‐Chen Lee and Yo Han Lee and Ata Mahmoodpoor and Jeadran Malagón-Rojas and Mohammad‐Reza Malekpour and Reza Malekzadeh and Narges Malih and Man Mohan Mehndiratta and Entezar Mehrabi Nasab and Ritesh George Menezes and Alexios‐Fotios A. Mentis and Mohamed Kamal Mesregah and Ted R. Miller and Mohammad Mirza‐Aghazadeh‐Attari and Maryam Mobarakabadi and Yousef M. Mohammad and Esmaeil Mohammadi and Shafiu Mohammed and Ali H. Mokdad and Sara Momtazmanesh and Lorenzo Monasta and Mohammad Ali Moni and Ebrahim Mostafavi and Christopher J L Murray and Tapas Sadasivan Nair and Javad Nazari and Seyed Aria Nejadghaderi and Subas Neupane and Sandhya Neupane Kandel and Cuong Tat Nguyen and Ali A. Nowroozi and Hassan Okati‐Aliabad and Emad Omer and Abderrahim Oulhaj and Mayowa Ojo Owolabi and Songhomitra Panda‐Jonas and Anamika Pandey and Eun‐Kee Park and Shrikant Pawar and Paolo Pedersini and Jeevan Pereira and Mário Fernando Prieto Peres and Ionela-Roxana Petcu and Mohammadreza Pourahmadi and Amir Radfar and Shahram Rahimi Dehgolan and Vafa Rahimi‐Movaghar and Mosiur Rahman and Amir Masoud Rahmani and Nazanin Rajai and Chythra Raghavendra Rao and Vahid Rashedi and Mohammad‐Mahdi Rashidi and Zubair Ahmed Ratan and David Laith Rawaf and Salman Rawaf and André M. N. Renzaho and Negar Rezaei and Zahed Rezaei and Leonardo Roever and Guilherme de Andrade Ruela and Basema Ahmad Saddik and Amirhossein Sahebkar and Sana Salehi and Francesco Sanmarchi and Sadaf Ghajarieh Sepanlou and Saeed Shahabi and Shayan Shahrokhi and Elaheh Shaker and MohammadBagher Shamsi and Mohammed Shannawaz and Saurab Sharma and Maryam Shaygan and Rahim Ali Sheikhi and Jeevan K. Shetty and Rahman Shiri and Siddharudha Shivalli and Parnian Shobeiri and Migbar Mekonnen Sibhat and Ambrish Singh and Jasvinder A. Singh and Helen Slater and Marco Solmi and Ranjani Somayaji and Ker‐Kan Tan and Rekha Thapar and Seyed Abolfazl Tohidast and Sahel Valadan Tahbaz and Rohollah Valizadeh and Tommi Juhani Vasankari and Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian and Vasily Vlassov and Bay Vo and Yuan‐Pang Wang and Taweewat Wiangkham and Lalit Yadav and Ali Yadollahpour and Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh Jabbari and Lin Yang and Fereshteh Yazdanpanah and Naohiro Yonemoto and Mustafa Z Younis and Iman Zare and Armin Zarrintan and Mohammad Zoladl and Theo Vos and LYN M. MARCH},
journal = {The Lancet Rheumatology},
year = {2023},
volume = {5},
number = {6},
pages = {e316--e329},
doi = {10.1016/s2665-9913(23)00098-x},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/s2665-9913(23)00098-x}
}TY - JOUR AU - Ferreira, Manuela Loureiro AU - Luca, Katie E. de AU - Haile, Lydia M AU - Steinmetz, Jaimie D AU - Culbreth, Garland T AU - Cross, Marita AU - Kopec, Jacek A AU - Ferreira, Paulo H. AU - Blyth, Fiona AU - Buchbinder, Rachelle AU - Hartvigsen, Jan AU - Wu, Aimin AU - Safiri, Saeid AU - Woolf, Anthony D. AU - Collins, Professor Gary S. AU - Ong, Kanyin Liane AU - Vollset, Stein Emil AU - Smith, Amanda Elizabeth AU - Cruz, Jessica A AU - Fukutaki, Kai Glenn AU - Abate, Semagn Mekonnen AU - Abbasifard, Mitra AU - Abbasi‐Kangevari, Mohsen AU - Abbasi-Kangevari, Zeinab AU - Abdelalim, Ahmed AU - Abedi, Aidin AU - Abidi, Hassan AU - Adnani, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah AU - Ahmadi, Ali AU - Akinyemi, Rufus AU - Alamer, Abayneh Tadesse AU - Alem, Adugnaw Zeleke AU - Alimohamadi, Yousef AU - Alshehri, Mansour Abdullah AU - Alshehri, Mohammed Mansour AU - Alzahrani, Hosam A. AU - Amini, Saeed AU - Amiri, Sohrab AU - Amu, Hubert AU - Andrei, Cătălina Liliana AU - Andrei, Tudorel AU - Antony, Benny AU - Arabloo, Jalal AU - Arulappan, Judie AU - Arumugam, Ashokan AU - Ashraf, Tahira AU - Athari, Seyyed Shamsadin AU - Awoke, Nefsu AU - Azadnajafabad, Sina AU - Bärnighausen, Till AU - Barrero, Lope Hugo AU - Barrow, Amadou AU - Barzegar, Akbar AU - Bearne, Lindsay AU - Benseñor, Isabela M. AU - Berhie, Alemshet Yirga AU - Bhandari, Bharti AU - Bhojaraja, Vijayalakshmi S AU - Bijani, Ali AU - Bodicha, Belay Boda Abule AU - Bolla, Srinivasa Rao AU - Brazo‐Sayavera, Javier AU - Briggs, Andrew M. AU - Cao, Chao AU - Charalampous, Periklis AU - Chattu, Vijay Kumar AU - Cicuttini, Flavia AU - Clarsen, Benjamin Matthew AU - Cuschieri, Sarah AU - Dadras, Omid AU - Dai, Xiaochen AU - Dandona, Lalit AU - Dandona, Rakhi AU - Dehghan, Azizallah AU - Demie, Takele Gezahegn AU - Denova‐Gutiérrez, Edgar AU - Dewan, Syed Masudur Rahman AU - Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda AU - Dhimal, Mandira Lamichhane AU - Dhimal, Meghnath AU - Díaz, Daniel AU - Didehdar, Mojtaba AU - Digesa, Lankamo Ena AU - Diress, Mengistie AU - Do, Hoa AU - Doan, Linh Phuong AU - Ekholuenetale, Michael AU - Elhadi, Muhammed AU - Eskandarieh, Sharareh AU - Faghani, Shahriar AU - Fares, Jawad AU - Fatehizadeh, Ali AU - Fetensa, Getahun AU - Filip, Irina AU - Fischer, Florian AU - Franklin, Richard Charles AU - Ganesan, Balasankar AU - Negese, Belete AU - Getachew, Motuma Erena AU - Ghashghaee, Ahmad AU - Gill, Tiffany K. AU - Golechha, Mahaveer AU - Goleij, Pouya AU - Gupta, Bhawna AU - Hafezi‐Nejad, Nima AU - Haj‐Mirzaian, Arvin AU - Hamal, Pawan Kumar AU - Hanif, Asif AU - Harlianto, Netanja I. AU - Hasani, Hamidreza AU - Hay, Simon Iain AU - Hébert, Jeffrey J. AU - Heidari, Golnaz AU - Heidari, Mohammad AU - Heidari‐Soureshjani, Reza AU - Hlongwa, Mbuzeleni AU - Hosseini, Mohammad‐Salar AU - Hsiao, Alexander Kevin AU - Iavicoli, Ivo AU - Ibitoye, Segun Emmanuel AU - Ilić, Irena AU - Ilić, Milena AU - Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful AU - Janodia, Manthan Dilipkumar AU - Jha, Ravi Prakash AU - Jindal, Har Ashish AU - Jonas, Jost B AU - Kabito, Gebisa Guyasa AU - Kandel, Himal AU - Kaur, Rimple Jeet AU - Keshri, Vikash Ranjan AU - Khader, Yousef Saleh AU - Khan, Ejaz Ahmad AU - Khan, Mohammad Jobair AU - Khan, Moien AB AU - Kashani, Hamid Reza Khayat AU - Khubchandani, Jagdish AU - Kim, Yun Jin AU - Kısa, Adnan AU - Klugarová, Jitka AU - Kolahi, Ali‐Asghar AU - Koohestani, Hamid Reza AU - Koyanagi, Ai AU - Kumar, G Anil AU - Kumar, Narinder AU - Lallukka, Tea M. AU - Lasrado, Savita AU - Lee, Wei‐Chen AU - Lee, Yo Han AU - Mahmoodpoor, Ata AU - Malagón-Rojas, Jeadran AU - Malekpour, Mohammad‐Reza AU - Malekzadeh, Reza AU - Malih, Narges AU - Mehndiratta, Man Mohan AU - Nasab, Entezar Mehrabi AU - Menezes, Ritesh George AU - Mentis, Alexios‐Fotios A. AU - Mesregah, Mohamed Kamal AU - Miller, Ted R. AU - Mirza‐Aghazadeh‐Attari, Mohammad AU - Mobarakabadi, Maryam AU - Mohammad, Yousef M. AU - Mohammadi, Esmaeil AU - Mohammed, Shafiu AU - Mokdad, Ali H. AU - Momtazmanesh, Sara AU - Monasta, Lorenzo AU - Moni, Mohammad Ali AU - Mostafavi, Ebrahim AU - Murray, Christopher J L AU - Nair, Tapas Sadasivan AU - Nazari, Javad AU - Nejadghaderi, Seyed Aria AU - Neupane, Subas AU - Kandel, Sandhya Neupane AU - Nguyen, Cuong Tat AU - Nowroozi, Ali A. AU - Okati‐Aliabad, Hassan AU - Omer, Emad AU - Oulhaj, Abderrahim AU - Owolabi, Mayowa Ojo AU - Panda‐Jonas, Songhomitra AU - Pandey, Anamika AU - Park, Eun‐Kee AU - Pawar, Shrikant AU - Pedersini, Paolo AU - Pereira, Jeevan AU - Peres, Mário Fernando Prieto AU - Petcu, Ionela-Roxana AU - Pourahmadi, Mohammadreza AU - Radfar, Amir AU - Dehgolan, Shahram Rahimi AU - Rahimi‐Movaghar, Vafa AU - Rahman, Mosiur AU - Rahmani, Amir Masoud AU - Rajai, Nazanin AU - Rao, Chythra Raghavendra AU - Rashedi, Vahid AU - Rashidi, Mohammad‐Mahdi AU - Ratan, Zubair Ahmed AU - Rawaf, David Laith AU - Rawaf, Salman AU - Renzaho, André M. N. AU - Rezaei, Negar AU - Rezaei, Zahed AU - Roever, Leonardo AU - Ruela, Guilherme de Andrade AU - Saddik, Basema Ahmad AU - Sahebkar, Amirhossein AU - Salehi, Sana AU - Sanmarchi, Francesco AU - Sepanlou, Sadaf Ghajarieh AU - Shahabi, Saeed AU - Shahrokhi, Shayan AU - Shaker, Elaheh AU - Shamsi, MohammadBagher AU - Shannawaz, Mohammed AU - Sharma, Saurab AU - Shaygan, Maryam AU - Sheikhi, Rahim Ali AU - Shetty, Jeevan K. AU - Shiri, Rahman AU - Shivalli, Siddharudha AU - Shobeiri, Parnian AU - Sibhat, Migbar Mekonnen AU - Singh, Ambrish AU - Singh, Jasvinder A. AU - Slater, Helen AU - Solmi, Marco AU - Somayaji, Ranjani AU - Tan, Ker‐Kan AU - Thapar, Rekha AU - Tohidast, Seyed Abolfazl AU - Tahbaz, Sahel Valadan AU - Valizadeh, Rohollah AU - Vasankari, Tommi Juhani AU - Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy AU - Vlassov, Vasily AU - Vo, Bay AU - Wang, Yuan‐Pang AU - Wiangkham, Taweewat AU - Yadav, Lalit AU - Yadollahpour, Ali AU - Jabbari, Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh AU - Yang, Lin AU - Yazdanpanah, Fereshteh AU - Yonemoto, Naohiro AU - Younis, Mustafa Z AU - Zare, Iman AU - Zarrintan, Armin AU - Zoladl, Mohammad AU - Vos, Theo AU - MARCH, LYN M. TI - Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990–2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 JO - The Lancet Rheumatology VL - 5 IS - 6 SP - e316 EP - e329 PY - 2023 DA - 2023/05/22 DO - 10.1016/s2665-9913(23)00098-x UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/s2665-9913(23)00098-x ER -
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