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Edurne Martínez del Castillo, Christian Zang, Allan Buras, Andrew J. Hacket‐Pain, Jan Esper, Roberto Serrano‐Notivoli, Claudia Hartl, Robert Weigel, Stefan Klesse, Víctor Resco de Dios and 38 more
The growth of past, present, and future forests was, is and will be affected by climate variability. This multifaceted relationship has been assessed in several regional studies, but spatially resolved, large-scale analyses are largely missing so far. Here we estimate recent changes in growth of 5800 beech trees (Fagus sylvatica L.) from 324 sites, representing the full geographic and climatic range of species. Future growth trends were predicted considering state-of-the-art climate scenarios. The validated models indicate growth declines across large region of the distribution in recent decades, and project severe future growth declines ranging from −20% to more than −50% by 2090, depending on the region and climate change scenario (i.e. CMIP6 SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). Forecasted forest productivity losses are most striking towards the southern distribution limit of Fagus sylvatica, in regions where persisting atmospheric high-pressure systems are expected to increase drought severity. The projected 21st century growth changes across Europe indicate serious ecological and economic consequences that require immediate forest adaptation.
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Castillo, E. M. D., Zang, C., Buras, A., Hacket‐Pain, A. J., Esper, J., Serrano‐Notivoli, R., Hartl, C., Weigel, R., Klesse, S., Dios, V. R. D., Scharnweber, T., Dorado‐Liñán, I., Maaten‐Theunissen, M. V. D., Maaten, E. V. D., Jump, A. S., Mikac, S., Bat‐Enerel, B., Beck, W., Cavin, L., … Luis, M. D. (2022). Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests. Communications Biology, 5(1), 163. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3
Castillo, Edurne Martínez del, et al. "Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests." Communications Biology, vol. 5, no. 1, 2022, pp. 163, https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3.
Castillo, Edurne Martínez del, Christian Zang, Allan Buras, Andrew J. Hacket‐Pain, Jan Esper, Roberto Serrano‐Notivoli, Claudia Hartl, et al. "Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests." Communications Biology 5, no. 1 (2022): 163. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3.
Castillo E. M. D., Zang C., Buras A. [и др.] Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests // Communications Biology. — 2022. — Vol. 5, № 1. — P. 163. — URL: https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3
@article{castillo2022climatechangedriven,
title = {{Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests}},
author = {Edurne Martínez del Castillo and Christian Zang and Allan Buras and Andrew J. Hacket‐Pain and Jan Esper and Roberto Serrano‐Notivoli and Claudia Hartl and Robert Weigel and Stefan Klesse and Víctor Resco de Dios and Tobias Scharnweber and Isabel Dorado‐Liñán and Marieke van der Maaten‐Theunissen and Ernst van der Maaten and Alistair S. Jump and Sjepan Mikac and Banzragch Bat‐Enerel and Wolfgang Beck and Liam Cavin and Hugues Claessens and Vojtěch Čada and Katarina Čufar and Choimaa Dulamsuren and Jožica Gričar and Eustaquio Gil‐Pelegrín and Pavel Janda and Marko Kazimirović and Jüergen Kreyling and Nicolas Latte and Christoph Leuschner and Luis Alberto Longares Aladrén and Annette Menzel and Maks Merela and Renzo Motta and Lena Muffler and Paola Nola and Any Mary Petriţan and Ion Cătălin Petrițan and Peter Prislan and Álvaro Rubio‐Cuadrado and Miloš Rydval and Branko Stajić and Miroslav Svoboda and Elvin Toromani and Volodymyr Trotsiuk and Martin Wilmking and Tzvetan Zlatanov and Martín de Luis},
journal = {Communications Biology},
year = {2022},
volume = {5},
number = {1},
pages = {163},
doi = {10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3}
}TY - JOUR AU - Castillo, Edurne Martínez del AU - Zang, Christian AU - Buras, Allan AU - Hacket‐Pain, Andrew J. AU - Esper, Jan AU - Serrano‐Notivoli, Roberto AU - Hartl, Claudia AU - Weigel, Robert AU - Klesse, Stefan AU - Dios, Víctor Resco de AU - Scharnweber, Tobias AU - Dorado‐Liñán, Isabel AU - Maaten‐Theunissen, Marieke van der AU - Maaten, Ernst van der AU - Jump, Alistair S. AU - Mikac, Sjepan AU - Bat‐Enerel, Banzragch AU - Beck, Wolfgang AU - Cavin, Liam AU - Claessens, Hugues AU - Čada, Vojtěch AU - Čufar, Katarina AU - Dulamsuren, Choimaa AU - Gričar, Jožica AU - Gil‐Pelegrín, Eustaquio AU - Janda, Pavel AU - Kazimirović, Marko AU - Kreyling, Jüergen AU - Latte, Nicolas AU - Leuschner, Christoph AU - Aladrén, Luis Alberto Longares AU - Menzel, Annette AU - Merela, Maks AU - Motta, Renzo AU - Muffler, Lena AU - Nola, Paola AU - Petriţan, Any Mary AU - Petrițan, Ion Cătălin AU - Prislan, Peter AU - Rubio‐Cuadrado, Álvaro AU - Rydval, Miloš AU - Stajić, Branko AU - Svoboda, Miroslav AU - Toromani, Elvin AU - Trotsiuk, Volodymyr AU - Wilmking, Martin AU - Zlatanov, Tzvetan AU - Luis, Martín de TI - Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests JO - Communications Biology VL - 5 IS - 1 SP - 163 PY - 2022 DA - 2022/03/10 DO - 10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3 UR - https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3 ER -
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