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Stephanie Roe, Charlotte Streck, Robert Beach, Jonah Busch, Melissa Chapman, Vassilis Daioglou, Андре Депперманн, Jonathan Doelman, Jeremy Emmet‐Booth, Jens Engelmann and 21 more
Land‐based climate mitigation measures have gained significant attention and importance in public and private sector climate policies. Building on previous studies, we refine and update the mitigation potentials for 20 land‐based measures in >200 countries and five regions, comparing “bottom‐up” sectoral estimates with integrated assessment models (IAMs). We also assess implementation feasibility at the country level. Cost‐effective (available up to $100/tCO2eq) land‐based mitigation is 8–13.8 GtCO2eq yr−1between 2020 and 2050, with the bottom end of this range representing the IAM median and the upper end representing the sectoral estimate. The cost‐effective sectoral estimate is about 40% of available technical potential and is in line with achieving a 1.5°C pathway in 2050. Compared to technical potentials, cost‐effective estimates represent a more realistic and actionable target for policy. The cost‐effective potential is approximately 50% from forests and other ecosystems, 35% from agriculture, and 15% from demand‐side measures. The potential varies sixfold across the five regions assessed (0.75–4.8 GtCO2eq yr−1) and the top 15 countries account for about 60% of the global potential. Protection of forests and other ecosystems and demand‐side measures present particularly high mitigation efficiency, high provision of co‐benefits, and relatively lower costs. The feasibility assessment suggests that governance, economic investment, and socio‐cultural conditions influence the likelihood that land‐based mitigation potentials are realized. A substantial portion of potential (80%) is in developing countries and LDCs, where feasibility barriers are of greatest concern. Assisting countries to overcome barriers may result in significant quantities of near‐term, low‐cost mitigation while locally achieving important climate adaptation and development benefits. Opportunities among countries vary widely depending on types of land‐based measures available, their potential co‐benefits and risks, and their feasibility. Enhanced investments and country‐specific plans that accommodate this complexity are urgently needed to realize the large global potential from improved land stewardship.
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Roe, S., Streck, C., Beach, R., Busch, J., Chapman, M., Daioglou, V., Депперманн, А., Doelman, J., Emmet‐Booth, J., Engelmann, J., Fricko, O., Frischmann, C. J., Funk, J., Grassi, G., Griscom, B. W., Havlík, P., Hanssen, S. V., Humpenöder, F., Landholm, D. M., … Lawrence, D. (2021). Land‐based measures to mitigate climate change: Potential and feasibility by country. Global Change Biology, 27(23), 6025–6058. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15873
Roe, Stephanie, et al. "Land‐based measures to mitigate climate change: Potential and feasibility by country." Global Change Biology, vol. 27, no. 23, 2021, pp. 6025–6058, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15873.
Roe, Stephanie, Charlotte Streck, Robert Beach, Jonah Busch, Melissa Chapman, Vassilis Daioglou, Андре Депперманн, et al. "Land‐based measures to mitigate climate change: Potential and feasibility by country." Global Change Biology 27, no. 23 (2021): 6025–6058. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15873.
Roe S., Streck C., Beach R. [и др.] Land‐based measures to mitigate climate change: Potential and feasibility by country // Global Change Biology. — 2021. — Vol. 27, № 23. — P. 6025–6058. — URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15873
@article{roe2021landbased,
title = {{Land‐based measures to mitigate climate change: Potential and feasibility by country}},
author = {Stephanie Roe and Charlotte Streck and Robert Beach and Jonah Busch and Melissa Chapman and Vassilis Daioglou and Андре Депперманн and Jonathan Doelman and Jeremy Emmet‐Booth and Jens Engelmann and Oliver Fricko and Chad Jonathan Frischmann and Jason Funk and Giacomo Grassi and Bronson W. Griscom and Peter Havlík and Steef V. Hanssen and Florian Humpenöder and David M. Landholm and Guy Lomax and Johannes C. Lehmann and Leah Mesnildrey and G.J. Nabuurs and Alexander Popp and Charlotte Rivard and Jonathan Sanderman and Brent Sohngen and Pete Smith and Elke Stehfest and Dominic Woolf and Deborah Lawrence},
journal = {Global Change Biology},
year = {2021},
volume = {27},
number = {23},
pages = {6025--6058},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.15873},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15873}
}TY - JOUR AU - Roe, Stephanie AU - Streck, Charlotte AU - Beach, Robert AU - Busch, Jonah AU - Chapman, Melissa AU - Daioglou, Vassilis AU - Депперманн, Андре AU - Doelman, Jonathan AU - Emmet‐Booth, Jeremy AU - Engelmann, Jens AU - Fricko, Oliver AU - Frischmann, Chad Jonathan AU - Funk, Jason AU - Grassi, Giacomo AU - Griscom, Bronson W. AU - Havlík, Peter AU - Hanssen, Steef V. AU - Humpenöder, Florian AU - Landholm, David M. AU - Lomax, Guy AU - Lehmann, Johannes C. AU - Mesnildrey, Leah AU - Nabuurs, G.J. AU - Popp, Alexander AU - Rivard, Charlotte AU - Sanderman, Jonathan AU - Sohngen, Brent AU - Smith, Pete AU - Stehfest, Elke AU - Woolf, Dominic AU - Lawrence, Deborah TI - Land‐based measures to mitigate climate change: Potential and feasibility by country JO - Global Change Biology VL - 27 IS - 23 SP - 6025 EP - 6058 PY - 2021 DA - 2021/10/11 DO - 10.1111/gcb.15873 UR - https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15873 ER -
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