doi:10.1136/bmj-2023-074819BMJ · 2024

Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 1): from development to external validation

Professor Gary S. Collins, Paula Dhiman, Jie Ma, Michael Maia Schlüssel, Lucinda Archer, Ben VAN CALSTER, Frank E. Harrell, Glen Philip Martin, Karel G.M. Moons, Maarten van Smeden and 3 more

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Published: 2024-01-08
Venue: BMJ, vol. 384, pp. e074819
Cited by: 770
Open access: Yes, hybrid
DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2023-074819
PubMed: 38191193

Abstract

Evaluating the performance of a clinical prediction model is crucial to establish its predictive accuracy in the populations and settings intended for use. In this article, the first in a three part series, Collins and colleagues describe the importance of a meaningful evaluation using internal, internal-external, and external validation, as well as exploring heterogeneity, fairness, and generalisability in model performance.

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@article{collins2024evaluation, title = {{Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 1): from development to external validation}}, author = {Professor Gary S. Collins and Paula Dhiman and Jie Ma and Michael Maia Schlüssel and Lucinda Archer and Ben VAN CALSTER and Frank E. Harrell and Glen Philip Martin and Karel G.M. Moons and Maarten van Smeden and Matthew Sperrin and Garrett Scott Bullock and Richard D Riley}, journal = {BMJ}, year = {2024}, volume = {384}, pages = {e074819}, doi = {10.1136/bmj-2023-074819}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2023-074819} }

TY - JOUR AU - Collins, Professor Gary S. AU - Dhiman, Paula AU - Ma, Jie AU - Schlüssel, Michael Maia AU - Archer, Lucinda AU - CALSTER, Ben VAN AU - Harrell, Frank E. AU - Martin, Glen Philip AU - Moons, Karel G.M. AU - Smeden, Maarten van AU - Sperrin, Matthew AU - Bullock, Garrett Scott AU - Riley, Richard D TI - Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 1): from development to external validation JO - BMJ VL - 384 SP - e074819 PY - 2024 DA - 2024/01/08 DO - 10.1136/bmj-2023-074819 UR - https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2023-074819 ER -

Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 1): from development to external validation

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Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 1): from development to external validation

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